TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077554
Played Sep 5Finished
Leos Havrda
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117115––––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLeos Havrda above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Leos Havrda 34–45 Jiri Grohsgott Leos Havrda has won 34 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Grohsgott
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-45 in 79
Grohsgott
Wrong
gap of 11 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havrda 1248 vs Grohsgott 1256
Grohsgott
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havrda 60% vs Grohsgott 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havrda 60% vs Grohsgott 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Havrda -2 · Grohsgott -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grohsgott)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 1.83 / Grohsgott 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Grohsgott)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077554
Havrda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Grohsgott1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavrda3wins
AwayGrohsgott7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavrda25%1 of 4
AwayGrohsgott66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havrda4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S2Havrda4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S3Havrda4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S4Havrda1Grohsgott5n = 6Grohsgott took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavrdaGrohsgottH − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.736.6−3.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 491 vs 754 / 154244.8%48.9%220 / 491 vs 754 / 1542Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottHavrda 1.83/Grohsgott 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 24 · 15:30L. Havrda—81111113J. Grohsgott—116391
LJun 13 · 01:00L. Havrda—8811101J. Grohsgott—11118123
LJun 7 · 17:12L. Havrda—8760J. Grohsgott—1111113
LJun 7 · 14:00L. Havrda—4250J. Grohsgott—1111113
LJun 3 · 17:30L. Havrda—115871J. Grohsgott—71111113
LJun 3 · 16:30L. Havrda—71070J. Grohsgott—1112113
LMay 25 · 17:30L. Havrda—116881J. Grohsgott—81111113
LMay 25 · 14:30L. Havrda—11126792J. Grohsgott—7101111113
WMay 24 · 09:00L. Havrda—1111113J. Grohsgott—9750
WMay 24 · 06:00L. Havrda—711119133J. Grohsgott—115511112
L. Havrda10
WSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113LAug 29 · 23:30L. Havrda2.25991391D. Mutl1.57111111113WAug 29 · 22:00L. Havrda2.1071111113V. Stach1.67113581LAug 23 · 09:30L. Havrda1.22161111842J. Martinek4.00189611113WAug 23 · 08:00L. Havrda1.611111113J. Cernik2.202770
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LSep 4 · 03:30J. Grohsgott2.1091111862M. Vaclavik1.65119911113WSep 4 · 01:30J. Grohsgott1.671111113A. Hejduk2.106880LAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113
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