TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076569
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118116––––
Leos Havrda
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched — 69.9% is still 69.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
69.9%
69.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Leos Havrda below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Michal Syroha at 69.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 7–0 Leos Havrda Leos Havrda has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-0 in 7
Syroha
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1180 vs Havrda 1277
Havrda
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 80% vs Havrda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 50% vs Havrda 70%
Havrda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +2 · Havrda +3
Havrda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Syroha) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havrda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.22 / Havrda 4.00
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Syroha)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076569
Syroha1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 77 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it78% 52 of 67
Havrda4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 44 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSyroha7wins
AwayHavrda0wins
Syroha leads 7–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyroha100%4 of 4
AwayHavrda0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha4Havrda3n = 7Syroha took 4 of 7
S2Syroha7Havrda0n = 7Syroha took 7 of 7
S3Syroha7Havrda0n = 7Syroha took 7 of 7
S4Syroha3Havrda0n = 3Syroha took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSyrohaHavrdaS − HBasisWins70+7in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match36.426.0+10.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaHavrdaBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 679 vs 220 / 48949.6%45%337 / 679 vs 220 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.22/Havrda 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMay 30 · 20:00M. Syroha—91111113L. Havrda—115631
WMay 23 · 07:30M. Syroha—1111113L. Havrda—5860
WOct 4 · 23:30M. Syroha—51213113L. Havrda—11101181
WApr 19 · 02:00M. Syroha—1111113L. Havrda—7990
WApr 6 · 06:00M. Syroha—1111113L. Havrda—7750
WJan 30 · 16:00M. Syroha—41114113L. Havrda—1121281
WJan 5 · 11:30M. Syroha—1111113L. Havrda—6870
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123
L. Havrda10
WSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113WSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113LAug 29 · 23:30L. Havrda2.25991391D. Mutl1.57111111113WAug 29 · 22:00L. Havrda2.1071111113V. Stach1.67113581LAug 23 · 09:30L. Havrda1.22161111842J. Martinek4.00189611113WAug 23 · 08:00L. Havrda1.611111113J. Cernik2.202770
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