TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077631
Played Sep 5Finished
Milan Regner
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611114511––
Michal Syroha
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Regner above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 5-8
Point 64 set 4, 5-8 — our read held Michal Syroha at 54.1%
64 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Milan Regner 3–4 Michal Syroha Milan Regner has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1218 vs Syroha 1227
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 80% vs Syroha 60%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Syroha 70%
Syroha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +3 · Syroha -2
Regner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Syroha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.00 / Syroha 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Syroha)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077631
Regner2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 34 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Syroha1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 77 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it78% 52 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeRegner3wins
AwaySyroha4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSyroha leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegnern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySyroha66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner1Syroha6n = 7Syroha took 6 of 7
S2Regner3Syroha4n = 7Syroha took 4 of 7
S3Regner5Syroha2n = 7Regner took 5 of 7
S4Regner3Syroha2n = 5Regner took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricRegnerSyrohaR − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match37.136.6+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 519 vs 338 / 67946.2%49.8%240 / 519 vs 338 / 679Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaRegner 2.00/Syroha 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 29 · 18:00M. Regner—8890M. Syroha—1111113
LAug 29 · 09:00M. Regner—961191M. Syroha—11117113
LAug 29 · 06:30M. Regner—87111182M. Syroha—111199113
WAug 28 · 15:30M. Regner—451211113M. Syroha—111110952
WAug 23 · 14:00M. Regner—1111113M. Syroha—6730
LJul 23 · 14:00M. Regner—1011881M. Syroha—12411113
WJun 16 · 14:30M. Regner—91111113M. Syroha—119661
M. Regner10
WSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113WSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.3091311113J. Grohsgott3.401111451LSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113WSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113LAug 30 · 16:58M. Barta2.75114611113M. Regner1.4051111962LAug 30 · 16:30J. Svec2.001113113M. Regner1.7371160WAug 30 · 15:30M. Regner1.5711117113M. Barta2.25341151
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113LSep 3 · 24:30M. Syroha1.57119811102P. Kulhanek2.25411118123
Upcoming Matches
M. Regner
M. Syroha
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