TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041121
Played Aug 30Finished
Milan Regner
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113114711115––
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 72.6% is still 72.6%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
72.6%
72.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMilan Regner above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 63 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 72.6%
63 points played in total.
H2H Milan Regner 1–1 Miroslav Barta Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Regner 1182 vs Barta 1269
Barta
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 20% vs Barta 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 10% vs Barta 40%
Barta
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -3 · Barta +1
Regner
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 27% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.57 / Barta 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Barta)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041121
Regner1.57
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 77 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it84% 38 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Barta2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 64 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRegner1wins
AwayBarta1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricRegnerBartaR − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match37.530.5+7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 519 vs 214 / 46146.1%46.4%239 / 519 vs 214 / 461Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.57/Barta 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 1 · 07:00M. Regner—8990M. Barta—1111113
WMar 4 · 19:00M. Regner—161111113M. Barta—186131
M. Regner10
WSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113WSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172LSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113WSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 2 · 13:28D. Mutl2.1061180M. Regner1.671113113WSep 2 · 12:30M. Regner1.3091311113J. Grohsgott3.401111451LSep 2 · 11:00M. Regner1.44811681D. Mutl2.6311311113WSep 2 · 10:00M. Vaclavik1.831311221M. Regner1.8315711113LAug 30 · 16:58M. Barta2.75114611113M. Regner1.4051111962LAug 30 · 16:30J. Svec2.001113113M. Regner1.7371160
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122WAug 30 · 16:58M. Barta2.75114611113M. Regner1.4051111962
Upcoming Matches
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M. Barta
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