TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082236
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611711––––
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:19 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-10
Point 49 set 3, 5-10 — our read held Martin Stefek at 56.9%
49 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Martin Stefek 6–5 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Stefek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1447 vs Barta 1218
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 229 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 20% vs Barta 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 30% vs Barta 10%
Stefek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -3 · Barta +1
Stefek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Stefek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.44 / Barta 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Stefek)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082236
Stefek1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 125 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it92% 69 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it77% 91 of 118
Barta2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 67 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek5wins
AwayBarta5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek60%3 of 5
AwayBarta60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek5Barta5n = 10split evenly
S2Stefek7Barta3n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S3Stefek5Barta5n = 10split evenly
S4Stefek3Barta5n = 8Barta took 5 of 8
S5Stefek1Barta2n = 3Barta took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekBartaS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.637.1−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime571 / 1187 vs 221 / 48048.1%46%571 / 1187 vs 221 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.44/Barta 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Barta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 08:30M. Stefek—1111113M. Barta—8880
LJul 19 · 09:00M. Stefek—3420M. Barta—1111113
LJul 19 · 07:30M. Stefek—591171M. Barta—11119113
WMay 18 · 21:00M. Stefek—111195113M. Barta—87111182
WMay 18 · 18:30M. Stefek—91311113M. Barta—1111551
LMay 16 · 09:00M. Stefek—91111452M. Barta—116611113
LMay 16 · 08:00M. Stefek—13118392M. Barta—1191111113
WDec 14 · 10:04M. Stefek—14116113M. Barta—1261141
LDec 14 · 08:30M. Stefek—117991M. Barta—41111113
WDec 11 · 22:11M. Stefek—71111103M. Barta—115651
M. Stefek10
WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:30R. Urban1.80111112113M. Stefek1.91951471
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870LSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171
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