TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076761
Played Sep 5Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161187111412––
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 80 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 8–3 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:11What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Strnad
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1322 vs Barta 1179
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 80% vs Barta 0%
Strnad
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 50% vs Barta 20%
Strnad
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad -1 · Barta -5
Barta
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.57 / Barta 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Strnad)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076761
Strnad1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 131 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 103 of 140
Barta2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad7wins
AwayBarta3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad85.7%6 of 7
AwayBarta66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad7Barta3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S2Strnad6Barta4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S3Strnad6Barta4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S4Strnad3Barta2n = 5Strnad took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadBartaS − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.427.5+6.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime532 / 1094 vs 220 / 47848.6%46%532 / 1094 vs 220 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.57/Barta 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 2 · 17:00J. Strnad—10111041M. Barta—12612113
WMay 2 · 14:00J. Strnad—1111113M. Barta—6590
LApr 19 · 12:30J. Strnad—117471M. Barta—71111113
WApr 5 · 12:30J. Strnad—1111113M. Barta—5650
LMar 28 · 10:30J. Strnad—7860M. Barta—1111113
WMar 28 · 07:30J. Strnad—11711113M. Barta—311541
WFeb 22 · 17:30J. Strnad—12941193M. Barta—101111862
WJan 19 · 22:30J. Strnad—1111113M. Barta—0620
WJan 19 · 20:30J. Strnad—91111113M. Barta—114991
WNov 5 · 16:30J. Strnad—1111113M. Barta—6630
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 10:30Z. Drabek1.30101111113M. Barta3.40126471LSep 5 · 08:59M. Chalupnicek1.44111128113M. Barta2.6374111122LSep 5 · 08:00Z. Drabek1.441111113M. Barta2.634870LSep 5 · 07:00M. Chalupnicek1.5711118113M. Barta2.25331171
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