TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076769
Played Sep 5Finished
Zdenek Zikmunda
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Zikmunda above · Jaroslav Strnad 1964 below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zikmunda 0–1 Jaroslav Strnad 1964 Zdenek Zikmunda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zikmunda 1310 vs Strnad 1322
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zikmunda 60% vs Strnad 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zikmunda 30% vs Strnad 50%
Strnad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zikmunda -1 · Strnad +3
Strnad
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zikmunda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZikmunda 2.38 / Strnad 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Strnad)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076769
Zikmunda2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Strnad1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 131 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 103 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZikmunda0wins
AwayStrnad1wins
Strnad leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricZikmundaStrnadZ − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match14.033.0−19.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikmundaStrnadBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 20 vs 531 / 109230%48.6%6 / 20 vs 531 / 1092Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadZikmunda 2.38/Strnad 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 06:00Z. Zikmunda—4460J. Strnad—1111113
Z. Zikmunda10
LSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113WSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113LSep 5 · 09:28Z. Drabek1.735111011113Z. Zikmunda2.0011612792WSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek1.6171113682Z. Zikmunda2.201171111113LSep 5 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.0091171482Z. Drabek1.731171112113WSep 5 · 06:30M. Barta1.91181161192Z. Zikmunda1.80208116113WSep 2 · 12:59Z. Drabek1.4491181172Z. Zikmunda2.63115119113LSep 2 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda2.10119651Z. Drabek1.6761111113LSep 2 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda2.253670A. Svoboda1.571111113
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752
Upcoming Matches
Z. Zikmunda
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J. Strnad
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