TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087532
Played Sep 7Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101213111151012117
Jiri Svec
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 102 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 63.3%
102 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 18–11 Jiri Svec Jiri Svec has won 11 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:14What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-11 in 29
Strnad
Correct
gap of 7 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1327 vs Svec 1278
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 20% vs Svec 40%
Svec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 40% vs Svec 60%
Svec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad -1 · Svec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svec form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.22 / Svec 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Strnad)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087532
Strnad1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 133 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 105 of 142
Svec4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 57 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad7wins
AwaySvec3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad66.7%4 of 6
AwaySvec25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad6Svec4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S2Strnad5Svec5n = 10split evenly
S3Strnad6Svec4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S4Strnad5Svec1n = 6Strnad took 5 of 6
S5Strnad2Svec1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadSvecStrnad − SvecBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.836.1+2.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime536 / 1103 vs 396 / 84748.6%46.8%536 / 1103 vs 396 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.22/Svec 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 08:30J. Strnad—1411113J. Svec—12780
WAug 14 · 09:30J. Strnad—81411113J. Svec—1112991
LAug 14 · 08:30J. Strnad—118131182J. Svec—911157113
WAug 7 · 16:58J. Strnad—71111113J. Svec—115361
WAug 7 · 16:30J. Strnad—1111113J. Svec—2870
WAug 4 · 07:00J. Strnad—164911113J. Svec—141111792
LAug 2 · 13:09J. Strnad—51080J. Svec—1112113
WAug 2 · 11:00J. Strnad—1211153J. Svec—109130
LJul 17 · 11:30J. Strnad—1131051J. Svec—31112113
WApr 17 · 12:58J. Strnad—641111113J. Svec—11119752
J. Strnad10
WSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113WSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121
J. Svec10
LSep 7 · 13:09M. Chalupnicek1.3011117123J. Svec3.404411101LSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113LSep 7 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.4411138113J. Svec2.637111161WSep 4 · 09:30J. Svec2.501111113Z. Drabek1.503770LSep 4 · 08:30J. Svec2.5012761182Z. Drabek1.501011115113WSep 4 · 07:00J. Svec3.50711119113P. Sudek1.2811881192WSep 4 · 06:00M. Chalupnicek1.6176111272J. Svec2.201111910113WSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123LSep 2 · 08:00J. Svec1.9111117972J. Grohsgott1.80991111113WSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123
Upcoming Matches
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J. Svec
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