TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076758
Played Sep 6Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119411511––
Martin Ulrych
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Ulrych to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Martin Ulrych below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Martin Ulrych at 64.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 4–0 Martin Ulrych Martin Ulrych has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Ulrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Strnad
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1345 vs Ulrych 1425
Ulrych
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 60% vs Ulrych 80%
Ulrych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 70% vs Ulrych 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +2 · Ulrych +4
Ulrych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ulrych) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ulrych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.83 / Ulrych 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ulrych)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076758
Strnad1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Ulrych1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStrnad4wins
AwayUlrych0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderStrnad leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad100%4 of 4
AwayUlrychn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad4Ulrych0n = 4Strnad took 4 of 4
S2Strnad2Ulrych2n = 4split evenly
S3Strnad3Ulrych1n = 4Strnad took 3 of 4
S4Strnad2Ulrych1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStrnadUlrychS − UBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match41.231.2+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadUlrychBasisWin rate · lifetime535 / 1098 vs 90 / 15048.7%60%535 / 1098 vs 90 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UlrychStrnad 1.83/Ulrych 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ulrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ulrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WMay 28 · 24:00J. Strnad—111168113M. Ulrych—86111172
WMay 16 · 22:30J. Strnad—11911113M. Ulrych—811991
WApr 13 · 13:30J. Strnad—1111113M. Ulrych—7690
WApr 13 · 12:30J. Strnad—111011113M. Ulrych—412341
J. Strnad10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:00J. Strnad2.106760Z. Drabek1.671111113WSep 5 · 10:00Z. Zikmunda2.389790J. Strnad1.531111113WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad1.8511119133P. Kulhanek1.854111111WSep 4 · 12:30J. Strnad1.571011711113M. Chalupnicek2.2512611752
M. Ulrych10
WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 13:30M. Ulrych2.63911911113Z. Zikmunda1.4411811772WAug 31 · 12:00M. Ulrych2.201111113A. Svoboda1.617380LAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda1.5711611113M. Ulrych2.25611691WAug 31 · 10:00M. Ulrych1.671111143P. Kulhanek2.1068120WAug 31 · 09:00Z. Zikmunda1.5010111071M. Ulrych2.5012712113LAug 31 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113M. Ulrych1.838670
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad
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