TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077926
Played Sep 5Finished
Pavel Berdych
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113611––––
Martin Ulrych
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Ulrych to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Berdych above · Martin Ulrych below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 60 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Martin Ulrych at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Berdych 0–1 Martin Ulrych Pavel Berdych has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ulrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Berdych 1295 vs Ulrych 1415
Ulrych
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berdych 20% vs Ulrych 80%
Ulrych
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berdych 20% vs Ulrych 50%
Ulrych
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Berdych -1 · Ulrych +3
Ulrych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ulrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ulrych form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerdych 1.91 / Ulrych 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ulrych)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077926
Berdych1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog25% won 17 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Ulrych1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 42 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBerdych0wins
AwayUlrych1wins
Ulrych leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricBerdychUlrychB − UBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.035.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerdychUlrychBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 437 vs 90 / 15048.7%60%213 / 437 vs 90 / 150Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UlrychBerdych 1.91/Ulrych 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ulrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ulrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych—81160M. Ulrych—1113113
P. Berdych10
LSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821LSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113WAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110LAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113LAug 30 · 24:00D. Priesol1.28881313113P. Berdych3.501111111142LAug 29 · 22:30L. Sulava1.4491111123P. Berdych2.631149101WAug 27 · 20:58J. Framberk1.537450P. Berdych2.381111113LAug 27 · 20:30J. Moravek1.501111113P. Berdych2.505970LAug 27 · 19:30P. Berdych3.40111121292M. Stefek1.30571114113
M. Ulrych10
WSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161WSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651WSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113WSep 5 · 22:30M. Ulrych1.831111113M. Novotny1.839580WAug 31 · 13:30M. Ulrych2.63911911113Z. Zikmunda1.4411811772WAug 31 · 12:00M. Ulrych2.201111113A. Svoboda1.617380LAug 31 · 11:30Z. Zikmunda1.5711611113M. Ulrych2.25611691WAug 31 · 10:00M. Ulrych1.671111143P. Kulhanek2.1068120WAug 31 · 09:00Z. Zikmunda1.5010111071M. Ulrych2.5012712113LAug 31 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113M. Ulrych1.838670
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