TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077808
Played Sep 6Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101171113119––
Pavel Berdych
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timePavel Berdych to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Pavel Berdych below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 84 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Pavel Berdych at 58.5%
84 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 6–11 Pavel Berdych Vaclav Kosar has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Berdych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Berdych
Wrong
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1338 vs Berdych 1274
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 20% vs Berdych 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 50% vs Berdych 20%
Kosar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar -3 · Berdych -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Berdych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berdych form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 2.10 / Berdych 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Berdych)+2.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077808
Kosar2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 56 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back30% 21 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Berdych1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 56 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosar2wins
AwayBerdych8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBerdych leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosar0%0 of 3
AwayBerdych71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar3Berdych7n = 10Berdych took 7 of 10
S2Kosar2Berdych8n = 10Berdych took 8 of 10
S3Kosar5Berdych5n = 10split evenly
S4Kosar2Berdych5n = 7Berdych took 5 of 7
S5Kosar1Berdych2n = 3Berdych took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosarBerdychK − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.038.6−6.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarBerdychBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 419 vs 213 / 43851.1%48.6%214 / 419 vs 213 / 438Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerdychKosar 2.10/Berdych 1.67
Miss
What we said
58.5%
Berdych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 01:00V. Kosar—671111113P. Berdych—11115872
LAug 9 · 15:00V. Kosar—11911672P. Berdych—711511113
LApr 19 · 24:00V. Kosar—711681P. Berdych—11711113
LApr 4 · 01:00V. Kosar—961181P. Berdych—11118113
WFeb 25 · 17:59V. Kosar—81111113P. Berdych—117881
LFeb 25 · 15:00V. Kosar—11311452P. Berdych—611711113
LSep 14 · 12:00V. Kosar—48100P. Berdych—1111123
LAug 30 · 22:00V. Kosar—7670P. Berdych—1111113
LAug 3 · 02:00V. Kosar—61030P. Berdych—1112113
LAug 1 · 12:00V. Kosar—117821P. Berdych—41111113
V. Kosar10
WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762LAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar2.251411113L. Sulava1.5712960WAug 29 · 22:00V. Kosar1.53129115113J. Pleskot2.38101171192WAug 28 · 17:00V. Kosar2.001311123P. Kulhanek1.73119100
P. Berdych10
LSep 6 · 01:00M. Novotny1.7361111113P. Berdych2.00112821LSep 5 · 23:30P. Berdych1.9181160M. Ulrych1.801113113LSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113WAug 30 · 02:00P. Berdych2.501212133J. Pleskot1.501010110LAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113LAug 30 · 24:00D. Priesol1.28881313113P. Berdych3.501111111142LAug 29 · 22:30L. Sulava1.4491111123P. Berdych2.631149101WAug 27 · 20:58J. Framberk1.537450P. Berdych2.381111113LAug 27 · 20:30J. Moravek1.501111113P. Berdych2.505970LAug 27 · 19:30P. Berdych3.40111121292M. Stefek1.30571114113
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