TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036347
Played Aug 30Finished
Daniel Priesol
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131171210711114
Vaclav Kosar
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDaniel Priesol to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Priesol above · Vaclav Kosar below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 97 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Daniel Priesol at 58.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Priesol 1–1 Vaclav Kosar Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:10What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Priesol
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Priesol 1368 vs Kosar 1410
Kosar
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priesol 60% vs Kosar 80%
Kosar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priesol 40% vs Kosar 70%
Kosar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priesol -1 · Kosar +4
Kosar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Priesol) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriesol 1.61 / Kosar 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Priesol)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036347
Priesol1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 64 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it74% 46 of 62
Kosar2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 55 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back29% 20 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePriesol1wins
AwayKosar1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPriesolKosarP − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.040.5−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriesolKosarBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 462 vs 218 / 43251.5%50.5%238 / 462 vs 218 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriesolPriesol 1.61/Kosar 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Priesol · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Priesol won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 27 · 03:30D. Priesol—11611113V. Kosar—911971
LAug 27 · 02:30D. Priesol—8136101V. Kosar—111111123
D. Priesol10
WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100WAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113LAug 30 · 02:59D. Priesol1.73781161L. Sulava2.0011119113LAug 30 · 01:30L. Sulava2.10111111113D. Priesol1.67713761
V. Kosar10
WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762WAug 30 · 01:00P. Berdych1.5011115872V. Kosar2.50671111113WAug 29 · 23:30V. Kosar2.251411113L. Sulava1.5712960WAug 29 · 22:00V. Kosar1.53129115113J. Pleskot2.38101171192WAug 28 · 17:00V. Kosar2.001311123P. Kulhanek1.73119100
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