TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041003
Played Aug 30Finished
Daniel Priesol
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012211––––
Martin Tacinec
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Priesol to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Priesol above · Martin Tacinec below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 52 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Daniel Priesol at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Priesol 1–1 Martin Tacinec Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:13What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Priesol
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Priesol 1306 vs Tacinec 1433
Tacinec
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priesol 40% vs Tacinec 60%
Tacinec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priesol 50% vs Tacinec 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priesol -1 · Tacinec +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Priesol) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tacinec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriesol 1.53 / Tacinec 2.38
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Tacinec)+5.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041003
Priesol1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 68 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it73% 48 of 66
Tacinec2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 18 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePriesol1wins
AwayTacinec1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricPriesolTacinecP − TBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match25.528.0−2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriesolTacinecBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 468 vs 159 / 29651.3%53.7%240 / 468 vs 159 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriesolPriesol 1.53/Tacinec 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.6%
Priesol · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tacinec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol—61020M. Tacinec—1112113
WDec 22 · 09:00D. Priesol—1111113M. Tacinec—6970
D. Priesol10
WSep 6 · 09:30D. Tyn1.731211471D. Priesol2.00101311113WSep 6 · 08:00D. Priesol1.7311711113A. Schneeberger2.00411581WSep 6 · 07:30M. Levicky2.5071490D. Priesol1.501116113LSep 6 · 06:00D. Priesol1.801191161D. Tyn1.9113112113LAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100WAug 30 · 12:00J. Briska2.001061161D. Priesol1.7312119113LAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 02:59D. Priesol1.73781161L. Sulava2.0011119113WAug 30 · 02:30D. Priesol1.611111127113V. Kosar2.20137101142LAug 30 · 01:30L. Sulava2.10111111113D. Priesol1.67713761
M. Tacinec10
LAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123WAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 22 · 17:30L. Sulava2.10111191192M. Tacinec1.67913113113WAug 22 · 16:00M. Tacinec1.6711911113L. Sulava2.10511571LAug 22 · 15:30L. Havel3.0011511113M. Tacinec1.36911741WAug 22 · 14:00M. Tacinec1.50111297123M. Barta2.508101111102LAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:00J. Didi1.7371111113M. Tacinec2.00115881LAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292
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