TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12438614
Played Aug 16Finished
Julius Didi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115118118––
Martin Tacinec
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Martin Tacinec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Julius Didi at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 7–4 Martin Tacinec Martin Tacinec has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Didi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Didi
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1486 vs Tacinec 1402
Didi
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Tacinec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 50% vs Tacinec 70%
Tacinec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi +2 · Tacinec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Didi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.73 / Tacinec 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Didi)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12438614
Didi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 97 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it86% 48 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it72% 70 of 97
Tacinec2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 20 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back37% 7 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidi6wins
AwayTacinec4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDidi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi62.5%5 of 8
AwayTacinecn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi8Tacinec2n = 10Didi took 8 of 10
S2Didi5Tacinec5n = 10split evenly
S3Didi4Tacinec6n = 10Tacinec took 6 of 10
S4Didi5Tacinec3n = 8Didi took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidiTacinecD − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.332.7+3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiTacinecBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 707 vs 162 / 31151.6%52.1%365 / 707 vs 162 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiDidi 1.73/Tacinec 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 08:00J. Didi—71111113M. Tacinec—115881
WAug 9 · 09:28J. Didi—11116113M. Tacinec—751161
WAug 9 · 07:00J. Didi—11117113M. Tacinec—851191
LJul 31 · 15:00J. Didi—11117992M. Tacinec—661111113
WJul 26 · 07:00J. Didi—11713113M. Tacinec—8111151
LJul 2 · 15:00J. Didi—117561M. Tacinec—61111113
WJun 7 · 09:30J. Didi—1111113M. Tacinec—9490
WJun 7 · 08:00J. Didi—11911113M. Tacinec—211441
LApr 6 · 12:30J. Didi—7440M. Tacinec—1111113
LFeb 21 · 07:30J. Didi—1181071M. Tacinec—41112113
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113WSep 2 · 23:30J. Didi2.38118119123V. Dolezal1.53411711102
M. Tacinec10
LAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123WAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113WAug 22 · 17:30L. Sulava2.10111191192M. Tacinec1.67913113113WAug 22 · 16:00M. Tacinec1.6711911113L. Sulava2.10511571LAug 22 · 15:30L. Havel3.0011511113M. Tacinec1.36911741WAug 22 · 14:00M. Tacinec1.50111297123M. Barta2.508101111102LAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 07:00D. Barton1.737111110113M. Tacinec2.0011531292
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