TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086860
Played Sep 7Finished
Julius Didi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114114115––––
Martin Stefek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 46 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Julius Didi at 54.0%
46 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 23–22 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stefek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-22 in 45
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1412 vs Stefek 1310
Didi
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Stefek 20%
Didi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 40% vs Stefek 10%
Didi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi +1 · Stefek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Didi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.83 / Stefek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Didi)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086860
Didi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Stefek1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidi5wins
AwayStefek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi60%3 of 5
AwayStefek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi5Stefek5n = 10split evenly
S2Didi7Stefek3n = 10Didi took 7 of 10
S3Didi4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Didi3Stefek3n = 6split evenly
S5Didi1Stefek2n = 3Stefek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidiStefekD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.033.0+6.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 756 vs 566 / 119051.5%47.6%389 / 756 vs 566 / 1190Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiDidi 1.83/Stefek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi—1111113M. Stefek—4450
LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi—1198101M. Stefek—11111123
WAug 30 · 20:59J. Didi—11119113M. Stefek—751161
LAug 30 · 18:00J. Didi—1111101182M. Stefek—481213113
LAug 28 · 23:00J. Didi—81190M. Stefek—1113113
LAug 22 · 01:30J. Didi—10570M. Stefek—1211113
WAug 16 · 16:30J. Didi—1112123M. Stefek—710100
LAug 15 · 10:30J. Didi—711118122M. Stefek—114111143
WAug 14 · 20:59J. Didi—6111011113M. Stefek—11512672
WAug 14 · 19:00J. Didi—101111113M. Stefek—122491
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113WSep 2 · 23:30J. Didi2.38118119123V. Dolezal1.53411711102LSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172WSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123
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