TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070760
Played Sep 4Finished
Julius Didi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1119118111012––
Martin Stefek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-10
Point 71 set 4, 10-10 — our read held Julius Didi at 54.0%
71 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Julius Didi 20–17 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Didi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-17 in 37
Didi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1439 vs Stefek 1462
Stefek
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Stefek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 40% vs Stefek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -2 · Stefek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Didi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.73 / Stefek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Didi)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070760
Didi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 100 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it75% 73 of 98
Stefek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 186 of 428
Down 0–1, comes back23% 55 of 240
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidi7wins
AwayStefek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDidi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi66.7%4 of 6
AwayStefek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi6Stefek4n = 10Didi took 6 of 10
S2Didi3Stefek7n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S3Didi6Stefek4n = 10Didi took 6 of 10
S4Didi4Stefek4n = 8split evenly
S5Didi4Stefek0n = 4Didi took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidiStefekD − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.437.3+4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 750 vs 568 / 117951.5%48.2%386 / 750 vs 568 / 1179Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiDidi 1.73/Stefek 2.00
Miss
What we said
54.1%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 20:59J. Didi—6111011113M. Stefek—11512672
WAug 14 · 19:00J. Didi—101111113M. Stefek—122491
LAug 12 · 22:00J. Didi—1175111M. Stefek—61111133
WAug 10 · 21:30J. Didi—971111113M. Stefek—11119482
WAug 10 · 18:00J. Didi—1112113M. Stefek—81080
WAug 9 · 06:00J. Didi—113139113M. Stefek—811111192
WAug 8 · 20:59J. Didi—1391110113M. Stefek—111171252
LAug 8 · 18:00J. Didi—1171191M. Stefek—71113113
WAug 8 · 09:00J. Didi—11711113M. Stefek—211551
LAug 8 · 08:00J. Didi—71090M. Stefek—1112113
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113WSep 2 · 23:30J. Didi2.38118119123V. Dolezal1.53411711102LSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113LSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172
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