TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13060071
Played Sep 2Finished
Julius Didi
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1148111179111210
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:43 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 94 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 62.4%
94 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 2–5 Vaclav Dolezal Julius Didi has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Dolezal
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1429 vs Dolezal 1488
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Dolezal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 50% vs Dolezal 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -1 · Dolezal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 2.38 / Dolezal 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Dolezal)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13060071
Didi2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 95 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 62
Dolezal1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 133 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it81% 98 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDidi2wins
AwayDolezal5wins
1 of 7 to a deciderDolezal leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDolezal80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi2Dolezal5n = 7Dolezal took 5 of 7
S2Didi3Dolezal4n = 7Dolezal took 4 of 7
S3Didi3Dolezal4n = 7Dolezal took 4 of 7
S4Didi2Dolezal3n = 5Dolezal took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricDidiDolezalDidi − DolezalBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match34.336.9−2.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 746 vs 366 / 74251.5%49.3%384 / 746 vs 366 / 742Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDidi 2.38/Dolezal 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 20 · 02:30J. Didi—11118113V. Dolezal—461141
LJul 9 · 18:30J. Didi—10930V. Dolezal—1211113
LJun 25 · 12:58J. Didi—11911592V. Dolezal—811911113
LJun 25 · 11:30J. Didi—7960V. Dolezal—1111113
LApr 18 · 01:30J. Didi—412771V. Dolezal—111011113
WFeb 26 · 10:30J. Didi—91111113V. Dolezal—116951
LFeb 26 · 07:30J. Didi—1171191V. Dolezal—13117113
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113
V. Dolezal10
LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:00V. Dolezal2.00911861A. Svoboda1.7311611113LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Stefek2.201191011123V. Dolezal1.61911129102LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Svoboda1.839111413123V. Dolezal1.831151611102WSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151
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