TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071871
Played Sep 4Finished
Julius Didi
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114411811711––
Adam Svoboda
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:58 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 67 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Julius Didi at 73.1%
67 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 3–0 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:58What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Didi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Didi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1392 vs Svoboda 1486
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Svoboda 100%
Svoboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 50% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi +1 · Svoboda +5
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Didi) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 1.30 / Svoboda 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Didi)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071871
Didi1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 100 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it88% 50 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it75% 73 of 98
Svoboda3.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 32 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDidi3wins
AwaySvoboda0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderDidi leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi100%3 of 3
AwaySvobodan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi3Svoboda0n = 3Didi took 3 of 3
S2Didi2Svoboda1n = 3Didi took 2 of 3
S3Didi2Svoboda1n = 3Didi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDidiSvobodaD − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match38.728.3+10.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 752 vs 130 / 26251.5%49.6%387 / 752 vs 130 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiDidi 1.30/Svoboda 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 22 · 12:59J. Didi—1111103A. Svoboda—5780
WAug 22 · 10:00J. Didi—1111113A. Svoboda—6480
WAug 16 · 15:00J. Didi—149611113A. Svoboda—121111942
J. Didi10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113WSep 2 · 23:30J. Didi2.38118119123V. Dolezal1.53411711102LSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862
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