Adam Svoboda vs Jaroslav Novotny 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13082247

Played Sep 6Finished

Adam Svoboda

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

911117116611611

Jaroslav Novotny

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Adam Svoboda to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Jaroslav Novotny below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 6-11

Set 5 · 6-11

Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.0%

89 points played in total.

H2H Adam Svoboda 1–2 Jaroslav Novotny Adam Svoboda has won 1 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 1–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 11:19

What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Novotny

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

1-2 in 3

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Svoboda 1498 vs Novotny 1433

Svoboda

Wrong

both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Svoboda 60% vs Novotny 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Svoboda 80% vs Novotny 70%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Svoboda +2 · Novotny +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSvoboda 1.83 / Novotny 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Svoboda)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13082247

Svoboda1.83

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Novotny1.83

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeSvoboda1wins

AwayNovotny2wins

2 of 3 to a deciderNovotny leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Svoboda1Novotny2n = 3Novotny took 2 of 3

S2Svoboda3Novotny0n = 3Svoboda took 3 of 3

S3Svoboda3Novotny0n = 3Svoboda took 3 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home133%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away267%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricSvobodaNovotnyS − NBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match40.039.0+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSvobodaNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 273 vs 79 / 15450.2%51.3%137 / 273 vs 79 / 154Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Svoboda

Svoboda 1.83/Novotny 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Svoboda · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Novotny won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record3

LSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda—91111662J. Novotny—117611113

LAug 24 · 13:07A. Svoboda—61111682J. Novotny—116711113

WAug 24 · 10:30A. Svoboda—1111133J. Novotny—86110

A. Svoboda10

WSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090 WSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030 WSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113 WSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100 WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113 WSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100 LSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113 WSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113 WSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862 WSep 5 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.3611711113R. Urban3.00511711

J. Novotny10

LSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651 WSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721 LSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113 WAug 24 · 13:07A. Svoboda1.8361111682J. Novotny1.83116711113 LAug 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda2.00811611113J. Novotny1.7311911392 WAug 24 · 11:30J. Novotny1.571111811113M. Stefek2.2531311642 LAug 24 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.101111133J. Novotny1.6786110 WAug 23 · 17:28R. Hasmanda2.00117111262J. Novotny1.73511714113 LAug 23 · 16:30R. Hasmanda2.1091111113J. Novotny1.67118591 WAug 23 · 15:30J. Novotny1.5011811113M. Barta2.50711851

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