TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481142
Played Aug 24Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119611113119
Jaroslav Novotny
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:46 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Novotny to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Jaroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jaroslav Novotny at 56.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 7–12 Jaroslav Novotny Rotislav Hasmanda has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:46What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Novotny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Novotny
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1458 vs Novotny 1434
Hasmanda
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 60% vs Novotny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 70% vs Novotny 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda +1 · Novotny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 2.00 / Novotny 1.73
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Novotny)+6.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481142
Hasmanda2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 68 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Novotny1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 27 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it60% 15 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda3wins
AwayNovotny7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNovotny leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda20%1 of 5
AwayNovotny60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S2Hasmanda5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S3Hasmanda5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S4Hasmanda2Novotny6n = 8Novotny took 6 of 8
S5Hasmanda1Novotny3n = 4Novotny took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaNovotnyH − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.241.1−3.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 793 vs 80 / 15649.9%51.3%396 / 793 vs 80 / 156Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyHasmanda 2.00/Novotny 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 17:28R. Hasmanda—117111262J. Novotny—511714113
WAug 23 · 16:30R. Hasmanda—91111113J. Novotny—118591
LAug 3 · 16:30R. Hasmanda—1157101J. Novotny—51111123
LMay 11 · 11:00R. Hasmanda—911491J. Novotny—11811113
WApr 13 · 13:00R. Hasmanda—1111113J. Novotny—9830
WApr 13 · 10:00R. Hasmanda—891614113J. Novotny—1111141292
LDec 9 · 13:30R. Hasmanda—4230J. Novotny—1111113
LNov 25 · 12:00R. Hasmanda—411671J. Novotny—11611113
LAug 25 · 10:30R. Hasmanda—111478102J. Novotny—9121111113
LJun 18 · 13:08R. Hasmanda—11911622J. Novotny—611811113
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143WSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113
J. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WAug 24 · 13:07A. Svoboda1.8361111682J. Novotny1.83116711113WAug 24 · 11:30J. Novotny1.571111811113M. Stefek2.2531311642LAug 24 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.101111133J. Novotny1.6786110WAug 23 · 17:28R. Hasmanda2.00117111262J. Novotny1.73511714113LAug 23 · 16:30R. Hasmanda2.1091111113J. Novotny1.67118591WAug 23 · 15:30J. Novotny1.5011811113M. Barta2.50711851
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