TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059591
Played Sep 3Finished
Petr Bruzek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117111314121113511
Rotislav Hasmanda
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Bruzek above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 108 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 62.4%
108 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bruzek 2–13 Rotislav Hasmanda Petr Bruzek has won 2 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:53What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hasmanda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-13 in 15
Hasmanda
Correct
gap of 11 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bruzek 1327 vs Hasmanda 1426
Hasmanda
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bruzek 20% vs Hasmanda 40%
Hasmanda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bruzek 30% vs Hasmanda 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bruzek -4 · Hasmanda -1
Bruzek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hasmanda) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBruzek 2.25 / Hasmanda 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Hasmanda)+4.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059591
Bruzek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 30 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 27
Hasmanda1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it90% 62 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 87 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBruzek2wins
AwayHasmanda8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHasmanda leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBruzek33.3%1 of 3
AwayHasmanda85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bruzek3Hasmanda7n = 10Hasmanda took 7 of 10
S2Bruzek4Hasmanda6n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S3Bruzek5Hasmanda5n = 10split evenly
S4Bruzek1Hasmanda8n = 9Hasmanda took 8 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBruzekHasmandaB − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.540.7−5.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBruzekHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 384 vs 395 / 79546.1%49.7%177 / 384 vs 395 / 795Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaBruzek 2.25/Hasmanda 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hasmanda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek—1111141152R. Hasmanda—7131213113
WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek—1110117113R. Hasmanda—91251122
LApr 22 · 01:00P. Bruzek—121621R. Hasmanda—101111113
LFeb 9 · 23:30P. Bruzek—4990R. Hasmanda—1111113
LFeb 6 · 04:00P. Bruzek—991181R. Hasmanda—11115113
LFeb 6 · 01:30P. Bruzek—711871R. Hasmanda—11811113
WJan 5 · 23:00P. Bruzek—101111113R. Hasmanda—128851
LOct 9 · 21:06P. Bruzek—411791R. Hasmanda—11911113
LOct 9 · 20:30P. Bruzek—961161R. Hasmanda—11117113
LJul 21 · 23:30P. Bruzek—811691R. Hasmanda—11911113
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122LAug 31 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.2096110V. Dolezal1.611111133
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143WSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113LAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122
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