TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042032
Played Aug 31Finished
Petr Bruzek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191012115711112
Rotislav Hasmanda
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeRotislav Hasmanda to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Bruzek above · Rotislav Hasmanda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 89 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Rotislav Hasmanda at 69.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bruzek 2–12 Rotislav Hasmanda Petr Bruzek has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hasmanda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-12 in 14
Hasmanda
Wrong
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bruzek 1390 vs Hasmanda 1403
Hasmanda
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bruzek 40% vs Hasmanda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bruzek 50% vs Hasmanda 30%
Bruzek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bruzek -1 · Hasmanda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Hasmanda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasmanda form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBruzek 2.75 / Hasmanda 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Hasmanda)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042032
Bruzek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 29 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Hasmanda1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 115 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it90% 62 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 88 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBruzek2wins
AwayHasmanda8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHasmanda leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBruzekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHasmanda87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bruzek2Hasmanda8n = 10Hasmanda took 8 of 10
S2Bruzek4Hasmanda6n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S3Bruzek5Hasmanda5n = 10split evenly
S4Bruzek1Hasmanda8n = 9Hasmanda took 8 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away770%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBruzekHasmandaB − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.238.6−5.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBruzekHasmandaBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 383 vs 392 / 79246.7%49.5%179 / 383 vs 392 / 792Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaBruzek 2.75/Hasmanda 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.8%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bruzek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek—1110117113R. Hasmanda—91251122
LApr 22 · 01:00P. Bruzek—121621R. Hasmanda—101111113
LFeb 9 · 23:30P. Bruzek—4990R. Hasmanda—1111113
LFeb 6 · 04:00P. Bruzek—991181R. Hasmanda—11115113
LFeb 6 · 01:30P. Bruzek—711871R. Hasmanda—11811113
WJan 5 · 23:00P. Bruzek—101111113R. Hasmanda—128851
LOct 9 · 21:06P. Bruzek—411791R. Hasmanda—11911113
LOct 9 · 20:30P. Bruzek—961161R. Hasmanda—11117113
LJul 21 · 23:30P. Bruzek—811691R. Hasmanda—11911113
LMay 12 · 01:00P. Bruzek—551181R. Hasmanda—11112113
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680LAug 31 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.2096110V. Dolezal1.611111133
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 24:30R. Hasmanda1.5311810121V. Dolezal2.3861112143WSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781WSep 2 · 22:00J. Didi2.5081161342R. Hasmanda1.501181111113
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