TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042074
Played Aug 31Finished
Petr Bruzek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111113––––
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Bruzek above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 57.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bruzek 14–10 Vaclav Dolezal Vaclav Dolezal has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:03What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Bruzek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bruzek 1390 vs Dolezal 1458
Dolezal
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bruzek 60% vs Dolezal 40%
Bruzek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bruzek 50% vs Dolezal 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bruzek +1 · Dolezal -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBruzek 2.20 / Dolezal 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Dolezal)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042074
Bruzek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 29 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Dolezal1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 131 of 202
Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it81% 97 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBruzek4wins
AwayDolezal6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBruzek66.7%2 of 3
AwayDolezal71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bruzek3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Bruzek3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S3Bruzek5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S4Bruzek3Dolezal4n = 7Dolezal took 4 of 7
S5Bruzek2Dolezal1n = 3Bruzek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBruzekDolezalB − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.039.2−5.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBruzekDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 382 vs 365 / 74046.6%49.3%178 / 382 vs 365 / 740Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalBruzek 2.20/Dolezal 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 01:00P. Bruzek—96110V. Dolezal—1111133
LAug 20 · 23:30P. Bruzek—6480V. Dolezal—1111113
LJun 28 · 22:30P. Bruzek—5790V. Dolezal—1111113
WMay 10 · 19:30P. Bruzek—511119113V. Dolezal—11871122
LMar 4 · 03:00P. Bruzek—831291V. Dolezal—111110113
WFeb 7 · 10:00P. Bruzek—121113113V. Dolezal—1461181
WFeb 7 · 08:30P. Bruzek—111165183V. Dolezal—971111162
LFeb 2 · 22:30P. Bruzek—11231172V. Dolezal—911114113
WFeb 2 · 19:00P. Bruzek—11811103V. Dolezal—911391
LDec 12 · 01:30P. Bruzek—451141V. Dolezal—11115113
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122
V. Dolezal10
LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:00V. Dolezal2.00911861A. Svoboda1.7311611113LSep 4 · 23:00R. Urban1.83912118113V. Dolezal1.83111061172WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Stefek2.201191011123V. Dolezal1.61911129102LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113WSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880WAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680
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