TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059651
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleg Vitrovyj
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115118––––
Petr Bruzek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:25 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Vitrovyj above · Petr Bruzek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 65.7%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Vitrovyj 17–13 Petr Bruzek Petr Bruzek has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Vitrovyj
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-13 in 30
Vitrovyj
Correct
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitrovyj 1427 vs Bruzek 1370
Vitrovyj
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitrovyj 20% vs Bruzek 40%
Bruzek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitrovyj 50% vs Bruzek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitrovyj -2 · Bruzek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vitrovyj)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitrovyj form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitrovyj 1.44 / Bruzek 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Vitrovyj)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059651
Vitrovyj1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 114 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it90% 65 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it74% 82 of 111
Bruzek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 30 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitrovyj7wins
AwayBruzek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVitrovyj leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitrovyj85.7%6 of 7
AwayBruzek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitrovyj7Bruzek3n = 10Vitrovyj took 7 of 10
S2Vitrovyj8Bruzek2n = 10Vitrovyj took 8 of 10
S3Vitrovyj7Bruzek3n = 10Vitrovyj took 7 of 10
S4Vitrovyj2Bruzek4n = 6Bruzek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitrovyjBruzekV − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.732.1+6.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitrovyjBruzekBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 665 vs 177 / 38152.6%46.5%350 / 665 vs 177 / 381Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitrovyjVitrovyj 1.44/Bruzek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Vitrovyj · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vitrovyj won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj—1111113P. Bruzek—3980
WAug 23 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj—101111113P. Bruzek—128981
LAug 17 · 02:58O. Vitrovyj—871181P. Bruzek—11119113
WAug 16 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj—1111113P. Bruzek—6840
LAug 4 · 01:00O. Vitrovyj—1111111192P. Bruzek—139813113
LJul 29 · 03:06O. Vitrovyj—125551P. Bruzek—101111113
WJul 29 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—1111145113P. Bruzek—73161112
WJul 17 · 24:30O. Vitrovyj—111211113P. Bruzek—7101351
WJun 30 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj—1111113P. Bruzek—3270
WJun 29 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj—1111123P. Bruzek—84100
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772LAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj1.571111113O. Kucirek2.255990WAug 31 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.67119117113M. Stefek2.1031181182
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122LAug 31 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.2096110V. Dolezal1.611111133
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