TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083516
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr Bruzek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9118111161210511
Lubor Sulava
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:39 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeLubor Sulava to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Bruzek above · Lubor Sulava below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 94 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Lubor Sulava at 59.3%
94 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bruzek 2–10 Lubor Sulava Petr Bruzek has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:39What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sulava
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-10 in 12
Sulava
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bruzek 1305 vs Sulava 1443
Sulava
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bruzek 0% vs Sulava 40%
Sulava
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bruzek 10% vs Sulava 50%
Sulava
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bruzek -5 · Sulava +1
Bruzek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulava) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBruzek 1.91 / Sulava 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sulava)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083516
Bruzek1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 30 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Sulava1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 121 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it84% 89 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBruzek2wins
AwaySulava8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSulava leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBruzek33.3%2 of 6
AwaySulava100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bruzek6Sulava4n = 10Bruzek took 6 of 10
S2Bruzek3Sulava7n = 10Sulava took 7 of 10
S3Bruzek2Sulava8n = 10Sulava took 8 of 10
S4Bruzek4Sulava5n = 9Sulava took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBruzekSulavaB − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.1−4.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBruzekSulavaBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 383 vs 481 / 97046.2%49.6%177 / 383 vs 481 / 970Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulavaBruzek 1.91/Sulava 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Sulava · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 18 · 07:30P. Bruzek—131011113L. Sulava—1112781
LDec 8 · 18:00P. Bruzek—511691L. Sulava—11511113
LDec 8 · 17:00P. Bruzek—9370L. Sulava—1111113
LSep 19 · 22:30P. Bruzek—11951382L. Sulava—9111111113
LAug 2 · 09:00P. Bruzek—7411111L. Sulava—11117133
LAug 2 · 08:30P. Bruzek—115571L. Sulava—61111113
WJul 25 · 08:00P. Bruzek—1111593L. Sulava—651141
LMay 13 · 20:30P. Bruzek—81171172L. Sulava—118116113
LMar 1 · 02:30P. Bruzek—1355101L. Sulava—111111123
LFeb 16 · 13:00P. Bruzek—11910121L. Sulava—31112143
P. Bruzek10
LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133LSep 7 · 24:00A. Svoboda2.001111123P. Bruzek1.7368100LSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630LSep 3 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.251111141152R. Hasmanda1.577131213113LSep 3 · 01:00P. Bruzek1.6161151122J. Didi2.20119115113LSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 22:30V. Dolezal1.441111113P. Bruzek2.634880LAug 31 · 03:00V. Dolezal1.501111113P. Bruzek2.407680WAug 31 · 02:00P. Bruzek2.751110117113R. Hasmanda1.4091251122LAug 31 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.2096110V. Dolezal1.611111133
L. Sulava10
WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342LAug 31 · 17:30L. Sulava1.73411111162M. Barta2.00118813113WAug 31 · 16:30M. Syroha2.501091351L. Sulava1.50121111113
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