TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083413
Played Sep 7Finished
Lubor Sulava
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14126111614117––
Martin Novak
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:09 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Novak to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Martin Novak below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 91 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Martin Novak at 57.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 0–2 Martin Novak Lubor Sulava has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Novak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sulava 1428 vs Novak 1502
Novak
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulava 40% vs Novak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulava 50% vs Novak 30%
Sulava
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulava -3 · Novak -1
Sulava
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Novak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 2.20 / Novak 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Novak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083413
Sulava2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 59 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Novak1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 19 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSulava0wins
AwayNovak2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderNovak leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSulavaNovakS − NBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.544.5−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 971 vs 34 / 5349.6%64.2%482 / 971 vs 34 / 53Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakSulava 2.20/Novak 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 2 · 03:30L. Sulava—11119762M. Novak—681111113
LJun 1 · 23:30L. Sulava—7111181M. Novak—11137113
L. Sulava10
WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580LSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952WSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava1.91121168113M. Stefek1.80104111172LSep 6 · 10:30J. Briska1.73971311113L. Sulava2.00111111342LAug 31 · 17:30L. Sulava1.73411111162M. Barta2.00118813113WAug 31 · 16:30M. Syroha2.501091351L. Sulava1.50121111113
M. Novak10
LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591LAug 18 · 24:30J. Didi1.57111188113M. Novak2.2597111182LAug 17 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.441111113M. Novak2.635560LAug 17 · 22:30M. Novak1.806940T. Regner1.911111113LJul 23 · 02:59O. Kucirek1.91512911113M. Novak1.80111011662LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak1.618840R. Hasmanda2.201111113
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