TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12285735
Played Jul 23Finished
Ondrej Kucirek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111210911116116
Martin Novak
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingOndrej Kucirek above · Martin Novak below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6
92 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kucirek 0–1 Martin Novak Ondrej Kucirek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucirek 1.91 / Novak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Novak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12285735
Kucirek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 43 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Novak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite75% won 18 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKucirek0wins
AwayNovak1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNovak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKucirekNovakK − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.051.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucirekNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 426 vs 32 / 4649.8%69.6%212 / 426 vs 32 / 46Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakKucirek 1.91/Novak 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 22 · 22:30O. Kucirek—111111852M. Novak—138811113
O. Kucirek10
WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda1.83410100O. Kucirek1.831112123WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek1.831111113M. Stefek1.837750WSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352LSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:30V. Dolezal1.7311125752O. Kucirek2.006101111113WSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113
M. Novak10
LSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961LSep 7 · 01:30M. Novak2.00137111192A. Svoboda1.73151196113LSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661WSep 6 · 22:30M. Novak1.571111113P. Bruzek2.256630WAug 18 · 01:30M. Novak1.5711711113O. Vitrovyj2.25211591LAug 18 · 24:30J. Didi1.57111188113M. Novak2.2597111182LAug 17 · 23:30R. Bartunek1.441111113M. Novak2.635560LAug 17 · 22:30M. Novak1.806940T. Regner1.911111113LJul 23 · 02:00M. Novak1.618840R. Hasmanda2.201111113
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