TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059243
Played Sep 2Finished
Ondrej Kucirek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13151191012117118
Radek Bartunek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Kucirek above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 107 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 60.9%
107 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kucirek 12–23 Radek Bartunek Ondrej Kucirek has won 12 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Bartunek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-23 in 35
Bartunek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucirek 1394 vs Bartunek 1508
Bartunek
Wrong
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucirek 60% vs Bartunek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucirek 30% vs Bartunek 60%
Bartunek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucirek -1 · Bartunek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bartunek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucirek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucirek 2.25 / Bartunek 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Bartunek)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059243
Kucirek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 48 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Bartunek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 104 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it84% 80 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKucirek5wins
AwayBartunek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucirek50%2 of 4
AwayBartunek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucirek4Bartunek6n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S2Kucirek3Bartunek7n = 10Bartunek took 7 of 10
S3Kucirek6Bartunek4n = 10Kucirek took 6 of 10
S4Kucirek6Bartunek3n = 9Kucirek took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKucirekBartunekK − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.339.2−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucirekBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 439 vs 346 / 66249.2%52.3%216 / 439 vs 346 / 662Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekKucirek 2.25/Bartunek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 23:00O. Kucirek—11117113R. Bartunek—791151
LAug 29 · 24:30O. Kucirek—9680R. Bartunek—1111113
WAug 7 · 03:00O. Kucirek—11611123R. Bartunek—9114101
WAug 7 · 24:30O. Kucirek—351211113R. Bartunek—111110872
LAug 6 · 02:30O. Kucirek—541191R. Bartunek—11118113
LJul 22 · 23:30O. Kucirek—118971R. Bartunek—51111113
LJul 11 · 24:30O. Kucirek—105111382R. Bartunek—1211711113
WJul 9 · 02:00O. Kucirek—41111113R. Bartunek—119861
LJun 27 · 03:30O. Kucirek—118841R. Bartunek—41111113
WJun 27 · 01:00O. Kucirek—131112133R. Bartunek—15810111
O. Kucirek10
WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda1.83410100O. Kucirek1.831112123WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek1.831111113M. Stefek1.837750WSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352LSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:30V. Dolezal1.7311125752O. Kucirek2.006101111113LSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 02:00J. Didi1.8311511113O. Kucirek1.83611661
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113WSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113
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