TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13057022
Played Sep 1Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711211311––––
Ondrej Kucirek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 45 set 3, 3-11
45 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 5–8 Ondrej Kucirek Tomas Regner has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kucirek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucirek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.25 / Kucirek 1.57
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kucirek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13057022
Regner2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 125 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back28% 39 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Kucirek1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 55 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner5wins
AwayKucirek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner50%3 of 6
AwayKucirek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner6Kucirek4n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S2Regner5Kucirek5n = 10split evenly
S3Regner4Kucirek6n = 10Kucirek took 6 of 10
S4Regner4Kucirek4n = 8split evenly
S5Regner2Kucirek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerKucirekR − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.339.9−2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime486 / 972 vs 215 / 44150%48.8%486 / 972 vs 215 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucirekRegner 2.25/Kucirek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.1%
Kucirek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 3 · 02:30T. Regner—119631O. Kucirek—51111113
LJun 25 · 01:00T. Regner—117691O. Kucirek—91111113
LJun 1 · 22:30T. Regner—711111132O. Kucirek—117138113
WMay 28 · 01:30T. Regner—711911113O. Kucirek—11511732
WMay 11 · 22:00T. Regner—312113123O. Kucirek—1110911102
WApr 10 · 01:00T. Regner—1211113O. Kucirek—10880
WMar 24 · 03:00T. Regner—11211113O. Kucirek—411981
WMar 19 · 24:00T. Regner—14119113O. Kucirek—1271151
LDec 28 · 23:00T. Regner—71170O. Kucirek—1113113
LSep 12 · 18:00T. Regner—11714252O. Kucirek—8111211113
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Stefek1.917550T. Regner1.801111113
O. Kucirek10
WSep 5 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.361111113R. Urban3.009240WSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:00A. Svoboda1.83410100O. Kucirek1.831112123WSep 4 · 23:30O. Kucirek1.831111113M. Stefek1.837750WSep 4 · 22:00O. Kucirek1.331211511113R. Urban3.2514711352LSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:30V. Dolezal1.7311125752O. Kucirek2.006101111113WSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651
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