TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13055435
Played Aug 31Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11911131210811611
Ondrej Fejtek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Ondrej Fejtek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 102 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Regner at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 1–1 Ondrej Fejtek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Regner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Regner 1487 vs Fejtek 1480
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 40% vs Fejtek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Fejtek 30%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Fejtek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.57 / Fejtek 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Regner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13055435
Regner1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 99 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 91
Fejtek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRegner1wins
AwayFejtek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRegnerFejtekR − FBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match40.535.0+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerFejtekBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 968 vs 27 / 4650%58.7%484 / 968 vs 27 / 46Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.57/Fejtek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fejtek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner—111112862O. Fejtek—9131011113
WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner—1111113O. Fejtek—7270
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Stefek1.917550T. Regner1.801111113
O. Fejtek10
WAug 31 · 20:00J. Steffan1.91118991O. Fejtek1.8061111113LAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.679118101J. Didi2.1011711123LJan 27 · 02:30O. Fejtek1.44111171062D. Parhomenko2.63451112113WJan 27 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.101191161O. Fejtek1.6713119113LJan 27 · 24:30J. Blazek1.73149138163O. Fejtek2.0012111111142LJan 26 · 23:30O. Fejtek1.808550L. Babicka1.911111113LDec 27 · 22:00B. Nguyen1.73117911113O. Fejtek2.0091111762WDec 27 · 21:00O. Fejtek1.73111185113B. Nguyen2.0065111192LDec 27 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.2011119113O. Fejtek1.61971191
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