TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13054789
Played Sep 1Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511611––––
Radek Bartunek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 59.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 16–23 Radek Bartunek Tomas Regner has won 16 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bartunek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-23 in 39
Bartunek
Correct
gap of 7 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1480 vs Bartunek 1517
Bartunek
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 60% vs Bartunek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Bartunek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +2 · Bartunek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bartunek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.00 / Bartunek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bartunek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13054789
Regner2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 125 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back28% 39 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 68
Bartunek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 101 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it84% 77 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner3wins
AwayBartunek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBartunek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner75%3 of 4
AwayBartunek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner4Bartunek6n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S2Regner3Bartunek7n = 10Bartunek took 7 of 10
S3Regner6Bartunek4n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S4Regner1Bartunek6n = 7Bartunek took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerBartunekR − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.237.4−5.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime486 / 971 vs 344 / 65850.1%52.3%486 / 971 vs 344 / 658Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekRegner 2.00/Bartunek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bartunek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 02:30T. Regner—1111113R. Bartunek—6540
LAug 18 · 01:00T. Regner—711861R. Bartunek—11911113
WAug 2 · 24:00T. Regner—129154113R. Bartunek—1011131182
LJul 24 · 22:00T. Regner—461191R. Bartunek—11119113
LJun 22 · 20:30T. Regner—7560R. Bartunek—1111113
LJun 3 · 20:00T. Regner—861141R. Bartunek—11118113
LMay 25 · 20:00T. Regner—541161R. Bartunek—11115113
LMay 10 · 07:00T. Regner—1111112102R. Bartunek—513311123
WApr 19 · 20:00T. Regner—11119113R. Bartunek—771181
LApr 6 · 21:00T. Regner—3760R. Bartunek—1111113
T. Regner10
LSep 1 · 02:59T. Regner2.257230O. Kucirek1.571111113LSep 1 · 24:30O. Kucirek1.7311811113T. Regner2.00511651WAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:30T. Regner2.2511113113J. Didi1.57921171LAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113LAug 31 · 20:30T. Regner2.257860J. Didi1.571111113WAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30J. Steffan1.5711115113T. Regner2.25771191LAug 30 · 21:29T. Regner1.4011391192J. Moravek2.75611119113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Stefek1.917550T. Regner1.801111113
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133LSep 4 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.00491131Y. Holovatiuk1.7311114113WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113
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