TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071585
Played Sep 4Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411911114311––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 64 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 3–8 Yurii Holovatiuk Radek Bartunek has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Holovatiuk
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1504 vs Holovatiuk 1574
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 40% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 50% vs Holovatiuk 70%
Holovatiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek +2 · Holovatiuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 2.00 / Holovatiuk 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071585
Bartunek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 53 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Holovatiuk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 84 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it80% 56 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek3wins
AwayHolovatiuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek60%3 of 5
AwayHolovatiuk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Bartunek6Holovatiuk4n = 10Bartunek took 6 of 10
S3Bartunek4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S4Bartunek2Holovatiuk4n = 6Holovatiuk took 4 of 6
S5Bartunek0Holovatiuk3n = 3Holovatiuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekHolovatiukB − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.036.6−2.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 666 vs 325 / 65552.3%49.6%348 / 666 vs 325 / 655Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukBartunek 2.00/Holovatiuk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 01:30R. Bartunek—1118113Y. Holovatiuk—71660
LJun 11 · 21:30R. Bartunek—71111562Y. Holovatiuk—116411113
WJun 11 · 19:30R. Bartunek—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—9790
WMar 8 · 03:00R. Bartunek—12116113Y. Holovatiuk—1041171
LNov 27 · 19:30R. Bartunek—113841Y. Holovatiuk—61111113
LSep 25 · 19:30R. Bartunek—8980Y. Holovatiuk—1111113
LSep 11 · 20:00R. Bartunek—7980Y. Holovatiuk—1111113
LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek—311481Y. Holovatiuk—11611113
LAug 21 · 20:00R. Bartunek—711101192Y. Holovatiuk—115128113
LJun 14 · 24:00R. Bartunek—11511472Y. Holovatiuk—411911113
R. Bartunek10
LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133WSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan1.8011115632R. Bartunek1.91491111113WSep 2 · 20:58V. Dolezal1.61119591R. Bartunek2.2051111113LSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113LSep 2 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.2513111011113R. Bartunek1.5715912782LSep 2 · 18:00R. Bartunek2.0015311862V. Dolezal1.731311811113WSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113LSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113WSep 1 · 01:30T. Regner2.008560R. Bartunek1.731111113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
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