TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076844
Played Sep 5Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118411611117711
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:18 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-9
Point 85 set 5, 7-9 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 59.5%
85 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 9–13 Jiri Plachy Yurii Holovatiuk has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:18What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-13 in 22
Plachy
Correct
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1621 vs Plachy 1458
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 100% vs Plachy 20%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 90% vs Plachy 40%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +5 · Plachy +1
Holovatiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 2.00 / Plachy 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holovatiuk)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076844
Holovatiuk2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 55 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Plachy1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 265
Up 2–0, closes it97% 68 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk5wins
AwayPlachy5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk66.7%4 of 6
AwayPlachy75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk6Plachy4n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S2Holovatiuk4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S3Holovatiuk5Plachy5n = 10split evenly
S4Holovatiuk3Plachy4n = 7Plachy took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukPlachyH − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.636.6−2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 660 vs 742 / 160750%46.2%330 / 660 vs 742 / 1607Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyHolovatiuk 2.00/Plachy 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 4 · 10:30Y. Holovatiuk—136761J. Plachy—111111113
LAug 4 · 06:30Y. Holovatiuk—1051161J. Plachy—12117113
LJul 22 · 15:00Y. Holovatiuk—131141212J. Plachy—1151114113
WApr 22 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk—11612113J. Plachy—8111081
LApr 22 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk—3660J. Plachy—1111113
WMar 19 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk—11118133J. Plachy—7711111
WMar 15 · 13:59Y. Holovatiuk—1111113J. Plachy—5430
WMar 15 · 11:30Y. Holovatiuk—114115113J. Plachy—81161152
WJan 8 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk—81117113J. Plachy—1151561
LJan 8 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk—8760J. Plachy—1111113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180
J. Plachy10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142
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