TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13085779
Played Sep 6Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119711118––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8
72 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 36–53 Vladimir Postelt Jiri Plachy has won 36 of their 89 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 2.00 / Postelt 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Postelt)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13085779
Plachy2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 174 of 419
Down 0–1, comes back22% 53 of 237
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 127
Postelt1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 119 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it85% 94 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy1wins
AwayPostelt9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPostelt100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy2Postelt8n = 10Postelt took 8 of 10
S2Plachy3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S3Plachy5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S4Plachy1Postelt5n = 6Postelt took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyPosteltPlachy − PosteltBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.937.9−9.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime744 / 1607 vs 432 / 81446.3%53.1%744 / 1607 vs 432 / 814Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPlachy 2.00/Postelt 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 23:30J. Plachy—31180V. Postelt—1113113
LAug 26 · 01:00J. Plachy—91112302V. Postelt—1161011113
LAug 19 · 12:00J. Plachy—461161V. Postelt—11116113
LAug 18 · 12:00J. Plachy—3870V. Postelt—1111113
WAug 13 · 12:30J. Plachy—1111113V. Postelt—8990
LAug 12 · 24:00J. Plachy—971181V. Postelt—11115113
LAug 10 · 02:00J. Plachy—6970V. Postelt—1111113
LAug 9 · 02:30J. Plachy—711561V. Postelt—11911113
LJul 17 · 24:00J. Plachy—115371V. Postelt—61111113
LJul 12 · 18:30J. Plachy—105111152V. Postelt—121156113
J. Plachy10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113WSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142
V. Postelt10
WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113
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