TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065192
Played Sep 3Finished
Tomas Vinter
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811211811––––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vinter to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Vinter above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 51 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Vinter at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vinter 8–4 Vladimir Postelt Vladimir Postelt has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vinter
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Vinter
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinter 1476 vs Postelt 1499
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinter 20% vs Postelt 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinter 30% vs Postelt 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinter -4 · Postelt +1
Vinter
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vinter)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinter 1.73 / Postelt 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vinter)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065192
Vinter1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 69 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Postelt2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 46 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVinter7wins
AwayPostelt3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVinter leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVinter71.4%5 of 7
AwayPostelt33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinter7Postelt3n = 10Vinter took 7 of 10
S2Vinter4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Vinter6Postelt4n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S4Vinter6Postelt4n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S5Vinter3Postelt2n = 5Vinter took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVinterPosteltV − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.339.6+4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinterPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 529 vs 432 / 81250.7%53.2%268 / 529 vs 432 / 812Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterVinter 1.73/Postelt 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 1 · 20:00T. Vinter—11811113V. Postelt—511771
WMay 30 · 16:00T. Vinter—113116113V. Postelt—81171192
LMay 23 · 16:59T. Vinter—88121172V. Postelt—1111109113
WMay 23 · 15:30T. Vinter—1211149113V. Postelt—146121172
WNov 27 · 10:30T. Vinter—71111113V. Postelt—111251
WNov 27 · 08:30T. Vinter—1113149113V. Postelt—711161122
LSep 4 · 09:30T. Vinter—11671192V. Postelt—411115113
WSep 4 · 07:30T. Vinter—11116113V. Postelt—871161
WAug 25 · 12:00T. Vinter—111011113V. Postelt—912971
LJun 26 · 13:30T. Vinter—1166101V. Postelt—71111123
T. Vinter10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121LSep 1 · 20:00T. Vinter1.5010340M. Vedmoch2.501211113WSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek2.20119511112T. Vinter1.61911118133LSep 1 · 18:00T. Vinter1.36861181M. Kolar3.0011119113WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100WAug 30 · 20:30T. Vinter3.001112123T. Janata1.36410100LAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113
V. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960
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