TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059096
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1199115111181113
Tomas Vinter
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 99 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 56.7%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 1–1 Tomas Vinter Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:43What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vinter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1549 vs Vinter 1495
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 40% vs Vinter 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 60% vs Vinter 40%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -1 · Vinter -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vinter) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 2.20 / Vinter 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Vinter)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13059096
Dedek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 76 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Vinter1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 68 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDedek1wins
AwayVinter1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDedekVinterD − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.541.0−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 906 vs 269 / 52851.4%51%466 / 906 vs 269 / 528Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterDedek 2.20/Vinter 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 7 · 17:29J. Dedek—1051171T. Vinter—12119113
WJun 7 · 14:30J. Dedek—118311113T. Vinter—71111642
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113
T. Vinter10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121LSep 1 · 20:00T. Vinter1.5010340M. Vedmoch2.501211113LSep 1 · 18:00T. Vinter1.36861181M. Kolar3.0011119113WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100WAug 30 · 20:30T. Vinter3.001112123T. Janata1.36410100LAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113
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