TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051978
Played Sep 1Finished
Tomas Vinter
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611119811––
Milan Kolar
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vinter to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Vinter above · Milan Kolar below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Vinter at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vinter 2–0 Milan Kolar Milan Kolar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Vinter
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vinter 1519 vs Kolar 1479
Vinter
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinter 40% vs Kolar 20%
Vinter
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinter 40% vs Kolar 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinter +2 · Kolar -4
Kolar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vinter) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinter 1.36 / Kolar 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Vinter)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051978
Vinter1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 68 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Kolar3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVinter2wins
AwayKolar0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVinter leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVinterKolarV − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match43.533.5+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinterKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 529 vs 403 / 80351%50.2%270 / 529 vs 403 / 803Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterVinter 1.36/Kolar 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 6 · 13:00T. Vinter—71111113M. Kolar—113641
WAug 6 · 10:30T. Vinter—771111113M. Kolar—11115972
T. Vinter10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121LSep 1 · 20:00T. Vinter1.5010340M. Vedmoch2.501211113WSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek2.20119511112T. Vinter1.61911118133WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100WAug 30 · 20:30T. Vinter3.001112123T. Janata1.36410100LAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113
M. Kolar10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431LSep 3 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0015104111J. Prokupek1.73131211133
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