TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070705
Played Sep 4Finished
Milan Kolar
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113119119117––
Lukas Malek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeLukas Malek to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMilan Kolar above · Lukas Malek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 82 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Lukas Malek at 65.1%
82 points played in total.
H2H Milan Kolar 9–14 Lukas Malek Milan Kolar has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:11What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Malek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Malek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1402 vs Malek 1482
Malek
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 0% vs Malek 60%
Malek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 10% vs Malek 70%
Malek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar -5 · Malek +1
Kolar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Malek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 2.25 / Malek 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Malek)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070705
Kolar2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Malek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 40 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolar4wins
AwayMalek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMalek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolar75%3 of 4
AwayMalek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar4Malek6n = 10Malek took 6 of 10
S2Kolar6Malek4n = 10Kolar took 6 of 10
S3Kolar5Malek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolar3Malek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolarMalekK − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.535.0−1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarMalekBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 808 vs 194 / 39749.6%48.9%401 / 808 vs 194 / 397Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalekKolar 2.25/Malek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Malek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar—111111113L. Malek—139971
LMar 7 · 12:00M. Kolar—8580L. Malek—1111113
LDec 10 · 13:30M. Kolar—115361L. Malek—61111113
WNov 29 · 13:30M. Kolar—1116113L. Malek—21460
WOct 9 · 11:30M. Kolar—1111113L. Malek—3430
WJul 27 · 13:12M. Kolar—11196113L. Malek—5171181
LJul 27 · 12:30M. Kolar—88121172L. Malek—1111105113
LJul 16 · 10:30M. Kolar—711111122L. Malek—116613113
LJul 10 · 13:30M. Kolar—8430L. Malek—1111113
LJul 10 · 10:00M. Kolar—911221L. Malek—11611113
M. Kolar10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431LSep 3 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0015104111J. Prokupek1.73131211133LSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113
L. Malek10
WSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791LSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113WSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 10:30L. Malek3.00111111123J. Steffan1.367136101LSep 1 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.2511211113L. Malek3.751110861LSep 1 · 12:00L. Malek3.008590D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 1 · 11:30J. Plachy1.446840L. Malek2.631111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolar
Nothing scheduled
L. Malek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.