TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052713
Played Sep 1Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811411––––
Lukas Malek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Lukas Malek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 54.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 3–1 Lukas Malek Lukas Malek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:56What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Plachy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Plachy
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1454 vs Malek 1508
Malek
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 40% vs Malek 100%
Malek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 50% vs Malek 80%
Malek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -2 · Malek +5
Malek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.44 / Malek 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Plachy)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13052713
Plachy1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 140 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it97% 66 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 99 of 119
Malek2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 22 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePlachy3wins
AwayMalek1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderPlachy leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy2Malek2n = 4split evenly
S2Plachy1Malek3n = 4Malek took 3 of 4
S3Plachy4Malek0n = 4Plachy took 4 of 4
S4Plachy3Malek0n = 3Plachy took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPlachyMalekP − MBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.234.5+5.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyMalekBasisWin rate · lifetime736 / 1599 vs 192 / 39246%49%736 / 1599 vs 192 / 392Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.44/Malek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Malek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 18 · 10:00J. Plachy—88111182L. Malek—111159113
WJan 20 · 12:00J. Plachy—13411113L. Malek—1111321
WJan 5 · 14:00J. Plachy—1111113L. Malek—8590
WJan 5 · 11:30J. Plachy—461111113L. Malek—11118752
J. Plachy10
WSep 7 · 13:30J. Plachy1.9111118113J. Trefny1.80891151WSep 7 · 12:30L. Malek2.253650J. Plachy1.571111113WSep 7 · 11:30J. Plachy2.251111107113V. Postelt1.5777121182WSep 7 · 10:30J. Trefny1.67571151J. Plachy2.1011119113LSep 7 · 09:00J. Trefny1.73117912143J. Plachy2.008111110122LSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750
L. Malek10
LSep 7 · 13:00V. Postelt1.20411811113L. Malek4.3311611852LSep 7 · 12:30L. Malek2.253650J. Plachy1.571111113LSep 7 · 11:00L. Malek2.6381171132J. Trefny1.44119119113LSep 7 · 10:00V. Postelt1.401111113L. Malek2.752690WSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791LSep 4 · 13:00L. Malek2.251181021J. Steffan1.5791112113WSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113
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