TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087386
Played Sep 7Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171171012711118
Vladimir Postelt
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 59.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 36–53 Vladimir Postelt Jiri Plachy has won 36 of their 89 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:51What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-53 in 89
Postelt
Wrong
gap of 17 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1457 vs Postelt 1451
Plachy
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 40% vs Postelt 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 50% vs Postelt 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy +1 · Postelt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 2.25 / Postelt 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Postelt)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087386
Plachy2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 173 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back22% 51 of 234
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 127
Postelt1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 121 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it85% 96 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy1wins
AwayPostelt9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPostelt100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy2Postelt8n = 10Postelt took 8 of 10
S2Plachy3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S3Plachy5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S4Plachy1Postelt5n = 6Postelt took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyPosteltPlachy − PosteltBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.937.9−9.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime746 / 1609 vs 431 / 81246.4%53.1%746 / 1609 vs 431 / 812Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPlachy 2.25/Postelt 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 23:30J. Plachy—31180V. Postelt—1113113
LAug 26 · 01:00J. Plachy—91112302V. Postelt—1161011113
LAug 19 · 12:00J. Plachy—461161V. Postelt—11116113
LAug 18 · 12:00J. Plachy—3870V. Postelt—1111113
WAug 13 · 12:30J. Plachy—1111113V. Postelt—8990
LAug 12 · 24:00J. Plachy—971181V. Postelt—11115113
LAug 10 · 02:00J. Plachy—6970V. Postelt—1111113
LAug 9 · 02:30J. Plachy—711561V. Postelt—11911113
LJul 17 · 24:00J. Plachy—115371V. Postelt—61111113
LJul 12 · 18:30J. Plachy—105111152V. Postelt—121156113
J. Plachy10
WSep 7 · 12:30L. Malek2.253650J. Plachy1.571111113WSep 7 · 10:30J. Trefny1.67571151J. Plachy2.1011119113LSep 7 · 09:00J. Trefny1.73117912143J. Plachy2.008111110122LSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193
V. Postelt10
LSep 7 · 12:00V. Postelt1.611081151J. Trefny2.2012114113WSep 7 · 10:00V. Postelt1.401111113L. Malek2.752690LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291
Upcoming Matches
J. Plachy
V. Postelt
Sep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.80J. Prokupek1.91—Sep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.38D. Kouble1.53—Sep 8 · 01:00V. Postelt1.50P. Fojt2.50—Sep 8 · 02:30V. Postelt1.33J. Dedek3.25—Sep 8 · 22:00V. Postelt2.35M. Vedmoch1.52—Sep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.45R. Krejci1.48—Sep 9 · 24:30V. Postelt1.80J. Trefny1.91—Sep 9 · 02:00V. Postelt1.61R. Pavelka2.20—
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