TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078685
Played Sep 6Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117115511116––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 67 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 58.4%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 8–1 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:38What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Postelt
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1432 vs Holovatiuk 1588
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 40% vs Holovatiuk 60%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 40% vs Holovatiuk 70%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -2 · Holovatiuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.28 / Holovatiuk 3.50
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Postelt)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13078685
Postelt1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 119 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it85% 94 of 111
Holovatiuk3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 55 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePostelt8wins
AwayHolovatiuk1wins
2 of 9 to a deciderPostelt leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt100%5 of 5
AwayHolovatiuk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt5Holovatiuk4n = 9Postelt took 5 of 9
S2Postelt9Holovatiuk0n = 9Postelt took 9 of 9
S3Postelt5Holovatiuk4n = 9Postelt took 5 of 9
S4Postelt4Holovatiuk2n = 6Postelt took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPosteltHolovatiukP − HBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match40.133.6+6.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime431 / 814 vs 334 / 66753%50.1%431 / 814 vs 334 / 667Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.28/Holovatiuk 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.9%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LApr 6 · 17:30V. Postelt—9111141Y. Holovatiuk—11813113
WApr 6 · 15:00V. Postelt—311912113Y. Holovatiuk—115111072
WMar 19 · 19:00V. Postelt—121239113Y. Holovatiuk—1010111172
WNov 16 · 24:00V. Postelt—111112113Y. Holovatiuk—781441
WNov 2 · 03:00V. Postelt—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—7280
WOct 23 · 18:30V. Postelt—1116113Y. Holovatiuk—51460
WApr 29 · 02:00V. Postelt—51113113Y. Holovatiuk—1141181
WApr 20 · 20:00V. Postelt—111111113Y. Holovatiuk—137951
WApr 19 · 22:30V. Postelt—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—7970
V. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131WSep 5 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.251113113J. Steffan1.5761180
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