TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087368
Played Sep 7Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9114111012––––
Daniel Kouble
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:39 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeDaniel Kouble to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Daniel Kouble below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Daniel Kouble at 62.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 2–9 Daniel Kouble Vladimir Postelt has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kouble
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Kouble
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1466 vs Kouble 1538
Kouble
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 40% vs Kouble 20%
Postelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 40% vs Kouble 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -1 · Kouble +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Kouble)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kouble form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 2.38 / Kouble 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kouble)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087368
Postelt2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 47 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Kouble1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it53% 8 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt2wins
AwayKouble8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKouble leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt33.3%2 of 6
AwayKouble100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt6Kouble4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S2Postelt3Kouble7n = 10Kouble took 7 of 10
S3Postelt4Kouble6n = 10Kouble took 6 of 10
S4Postelt3Kouble6n = 9Kouble took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltKoubleP − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.642.0−4.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltKoubleBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 816 vs 103 / 21752.9%47.5%432 / 816 vs 103 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoublePostelt 2.38/Kouble 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Kouble · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kouble won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 24:30V. Postelt—1161081D. Kouble—91112113
LJun 23 · 01:30V. Postelt—118771D. Kouble—81111113
LMay 13 · 01:30V. Postelt—1491581D. Kouble—121117113
WFeb 7 · 23:30V. Postelt—11811113D. Kouble—411981
LDec 23 · 02:30V. Postelt—1171091D. Kouble—91112113
LNov 25 · 24:30V. Postelt—5101161D. Kouble—11127113
LOct 28 · 03:30V. Postelt—81181312D. Kouble—1191111113
WJul 17 · 01:30V. Postelt—1111113D. Kouble—9950
LMay 27 · 19:00V. Postelt—1111491D. Kouble—13811113
LFeb 26 · 24:30V. Postelt—89111142D. Kouble—111198113
V. Postelt10
LSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113WSep 7 · 13:00V. Postelt1.20411811113L. Malek4.3311611852LSep 7 · 12:00V. Postelt1.611081151J. Trefny2.2012114113LSep 7 · 11:30J. Plachy2.251111107113V. Postelt1.5777121182WSep 7 · 10:00V. Postelt1.401111113L. Malek2.752690LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113
D. Kouble10
LSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci1.731211113D. Kouble2.0010920WSep 1 · 24:30D. Kouble1.5391112113V. Postelt2.381161081LAug 31 · 23:00D. Kouble2.0011116772D. Tuma1.73981111113
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