TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071782
Played Sep 5Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118411115––
Daniel Kouble
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Daniel Kouble below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Richard Krejci at 58.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 4–3 Daniel Kouble Daniel Kouble has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krejci
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1616 vs Kouble 1547
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 40% vs Kouble 20%
Krejci
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 70% vs Kouble 40%
Krejci
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci -1 · Kouble -4
Kouble
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Krejci)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kouble form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 1.61 / Kouble 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Krejci)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071782
Krejci1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 51 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Kouble2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 22 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKrejci4wins
AwayKouble3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKrejci leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci100%3 of 3
AwayKouble75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci3Kouble4n = 7Kouble took 4 of 7
S2Krejci4Kouble3n = 7Krejci took 4 of 7
S3Krejci3Kouble4n = 7Kouble took 4 of 7
S4Krejci2Kouble1n = 3Krejci took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKrejciKoubleKrejci − KoubleBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match31.032.7−1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciKoubleBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 341 vs 102 / 21452.5%47.7%179 / 341 vs 102 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciKrejci 1.61/Kouble 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci—1211113D. Kouble—10920
WMay 13 · 03:29R. Krejci—1111113D. Kouble—9490
WMay 13 · 24:00R. Krejci—911411113D. Kouble—11911692
LFeb 18 · 01:00R. Krejci—9470D. Kouble—1111113
LOct 28 · 01:00R. Krejci—471171D. Kouble—11117113
LAug 28 · 23:30R. Krejci—9550D. Kouble—1111113
WJan 19 · 24:00R. Krejci—11122113D. Kouble—8101151
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491
D. Kouble10
LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci1.731211113D. Kouble2.0010920WSep 1 · 24:30D. Kouble1.5391112113V. Postelt2.381161081LAug 31 · 23:00D. Kouble2.0011116772D. Tuma1.73981111113WAug 31 · 22:00T. Janata1.671191071D. Kouble2.1091112113WJul 5 · 03:00D. Kouble2.10112812133O. Kysely1.677111110112WJul 5 · 01:30D. Kouble2.00111119113O. Kysely1.7385111142
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