TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047671
Played Aug 31Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1199111012711––
Daniel Kouble
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Kouble to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Daniel Kouble below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Daniel Kouble at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 6–7 Daniel Kouble Tomas Janata has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1498 vs Kouble 1577
Kouble
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 0% vs Kouble 60%
Kouble
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 20% vs Kouble 50%
Kouble
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata -5 · Kouble +2
Janata
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kouble form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.67 / Kouble 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Janata)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13047671
Janata1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 111 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it77% 77 of 100
Kouble2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 21 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata4wins
AwayKouble6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKouble leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata60%3 of 5
AwayKouble80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata5Kouble5n = 10split evenly
S2Janata6Kouble4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Janata5Kouble5n = 10split evenly
S4Janata3Kouble5n = 8Kouble took 5 of 8
S5Janata1Kouble3n = 4Kouble took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataKoubleJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.641.4−2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataKoubleBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 819 vs 100 / 20752.4%48.3%429 / 819 vs 100 / 207Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.67/Kouble 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.2%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kouble won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 31 · 16:00T. Janata—71111752D. Kouble—115811113
LMay 5 · 02:30T. Janata—121111632D. Kouble—144911113
LApr 18 · 24:00T. Janata—11117682D. Kouble—891111113
WFeb 5 · 24:00T. Janata—11511113D. Kouble—911591
WJan 28 · 17:30T. Janata—1111113D. Kouble—8780
WOct 22 · 23:30T. Janata—661115113D. Kouble—111171382
LOct 1 · 24:30T. Janata—1181071D. Kouble—91112103
WAug 29 · 03:08T. Janata—11147123D. Kouble—81211101
LAug 29 · 01:00T. Janata—6126101D. Kouble—111011123
LFeb 13 · 04:30T. Janata—77110D. Kouble—1111133
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540
D. Kouble10
LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci1.731211113D. Kouble2.0010920WSep 1 · 24:30D. Kouble1.5391112113V. Postelt2.381161081LAug 31 · 23:00D. Kouble2.0011116772D. Tuma1.73981111113WJul 5 · 03:00D. Kouble2.10112812133O. Kysely1.677111110112WJul 5 · 01:30D. Kouble2.00111119113O. Kysely1.7385111142
Upcoming Matches
T. Janata
D. Kouble
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.