TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071646
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311811911511––
Simon Kadavy
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Simon Kadavy below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 79 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Tomas Janata at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 9–5 Simon Kadavy Simon Kadavy has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Janata
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1537 vs Kadavy 1640
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 60% vs Kadavy 80%
Kadavy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 50% vs Kadavy 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata +2 · Kadavy +3
Kadavy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Janata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.73 / Kadavy 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kadavy)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071646
Janata1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 112 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it76% 78 of 103
Kadavy2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 44 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata5wins
AwayKadavy5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata66.7%4 of 6
AwayKadavy75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata6Kadavy4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S2Janata6Kadavy4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Janata6Kadavy4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S4Janata3Kadavy4n = 7Kadavy took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataKadavyJ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.936.7+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 809 vs 264 / 53652.5%49.3%425 / 809 vs 264 / 536Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.73/Kadavy 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 01:30T. Janata—127771S. Kadavy—101111113
WApr 13 · 16:30T. Janata—1111113S. Kadavy—7380
LApr 11 · 20:00T. Janata—61211632S. Kadavy—1110611113
WMar 9 · 20:00T. Janata—1111153S. Kadavy—47130
WFeb 27 · 02:30T. Janata—11113113S. Kadavy—891161
WFeb 20 · 22:30T. Janata—12122113S. Kadavy—10101191
LFeb 20 · 21:30T. Janata—10680S. Kadavy—1211113
LFeb 11 · 20:00T. Janata—1081571S. Kadavy—121113113
WFeb 11 · 18:00T. Janata—101111113S. Kadavy—123971
LFeb 11 · 15:30T. Janata—117118112S. Kadavy—711511133
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:30D. Tuma2.10101111113T. Janata1.67124971
S. Kadavy10
WSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180WSep 5 · 24:00S. Kadavy1.4471111113R. Krejci2.63118991WSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pikous1.251111113S. Kadavy3.759630WSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:30D. Hofman1.50111168113S. Kadavy2.5097111182LSep 1 · 20:58J. Stolfa1.73111616123S. Kadavy2.0081814101LSep 1 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.8011118113S. Kadavy1.91971171
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