TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082246
Played Sep 6Finished
Matej Volf
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111181162111210
Tomas Janata
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 91 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Janata at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 12–23 Tomas Janata Matej Volf has won 12 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-23 in 35
Janata
Wrong
gap of 11 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volf 1536 vs Janata 1553
Janata
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volf 80% vs Janata 60%
Volf
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volf 70% vs Janata 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volf -1 · Janata +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volf form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 2.25 / Janata 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Janata)-1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082246
Volf2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 31 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Janata1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it75% 78 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolf3wins
AwayJanata7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolf50%3 of 6
AwayJanata100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volf6Janata4n = 10Volf took 6 of 10
S2Volf4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Volf2Janata8n = 10Janata took 8 of 10
S4Volf4Janata5n = 9Janata took 5 of 9
S5Volf1Janata2n = 3Janata took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolfJanataV − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.239.5−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 394 vs 426 / 81151.5%52.5%203 / 394 vs 426 / 811Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataVolf 2.25/Janata 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.9%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 22 · 18:30M. Volf—11117382T. Janata—871111113
WMay 22 · 14:30M. Volf—117311113T. Janata—31111832
LMay 10 · 01:00M. Volf—6940T. Janata—1111113
WMay 9 · 20:30M. Volf—11811113T. Janata—811981
LMay 2 · 21:29M. Volf—1110451T. Janata—91211113
LMay 2 · 18:00M. Volf—711841T. Janata—11911113
LApr 7 · 01:00M. Volf—711941T. Janata—11311113
LApr 5 · 20:30M. Volf—1210581T. Janata—101211113
LFeb 1 · 23:30M. Volf—58111162T. Janata—111194113
WJan 14 · 22:30M. Volf—11119113T. Janata—471191
M. Volf10
LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192LSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LAug 11 · 01:30M. Sobisek1.501111113M. Volf2.506920WAug 11 · 24:00M. Volf1.6791311113A. Hlawatschke2.101111541WAug 10 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.9134120M. Volf1.801111143
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:30D. Tuma2.10101111113T. Janata1.67124971
Upcoming Matches
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T. Janata
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