TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087502
Played Sep 7Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5119111311511––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 76 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Tomas Janata at 65.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 6–3 Michal Vedmoch Michal Vedmoch has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:10What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Janata
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1536 vs Vedmoch 1626
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 40% vs Vedmoch 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 50% vs Vedmoch 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata -1 · Vedmoch +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Janata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.40 / Vedmoch 2.75
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Janata)-1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087502
Janata1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it74% 78 of 105
Vedmoch2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 120 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back21% 28 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJanata6wins
AwayVedmoch3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderJanata leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata100%4 of 4
AwayVedmoch60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata4Vedmoch5n = 9Vedmoch took 5 of 9
S2Janata4Vedmoch5n = 9Vedmoch took 5 of 9
S3Janata4Vedmoch5n = 9Vedmoch took 5 of 9
S4Janata5Vedmoch1n = 6Janata took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricJanataVedmochJ − VBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match37.335.7+1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime428 / 817 vs 706 / 131252.4%53.8%428 / 817 vs 706 / 1312Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.40/Vedmoch 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 15 · 21:30T. Janata—11125113M. Vedmoch—6101161
WJul 15 · 19:30T. Janata—11911113M. Vedmoch—611861
LJul 13 · 20:58T. Janata—6311101M. Vedmoch—11117123
WJul 13 · 20:00T. Janata—1111113M. Vedmoch—7490
LJun 11 · 19:30T. Janata—9880M. Vedmoch—1111113
WJun 1 · 14:00T. Janata—1011311143M. Vedmoch—127116122
WNov 8 · 04:00T. Janata—611921113M. Vedmoch—112111962
WNov 8 · 03:00T. Janata—11711123M. Vedmoch—5117101
LNov 3 · 15:00T. Janata—8560M. Vedmoch—1111113
T. Janata10
LSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:00T. Janata1.44111194113L. Krticka2.6398111182LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 7 · 19:00L. Krticka2.10111180M. Vedmoch1.671313113LSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113LSep 7 · 17:30M. Vedmoch1.7721111101M. Sedlak1.9311513123WSep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.8311811143M. Sedlak1.838118121LSep 7 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0012911113M. Vedmoch1.731011551WSep 7 · 14:00M. Vedmoch2.251111113R. Pavelka1.579450WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113
Upcoming Matches
T. Janata
M. Vedmoch
Sep 7 · 21:30M. Vedmoch—J. Hradecky——Sep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20M. Sobisek1.61—Sep 8 · 15:00M. Vedmoch1.73J. Stolfa2.00—Sep 8 · 16:00M. Vedmoch2.75V. Cermak1.40—Sep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53V. Postelt2.38—Sep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.53J. Trefny2.38—Sep 9 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.10R. Pavelka1.67—Sep 9 · 02:30M. Vedmoch1.73R. Krejci2.00—
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