TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087369
Played Sep 7Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119118911411118
Lubos Krticka
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Lubos Krticka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Janata at 64.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 8–6 Lubos Krticka Lubos Krticka has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:49What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Janata
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1533 vs Krticka 1607
Krticka
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 40% vs Krticka 80%
Krticka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 50% vs Krticka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata -2 · Krticka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Janata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krticka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.44 / Krticka 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Janata)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087369
Janata1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it74% 78 of 105
Krticka2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 19 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back25% 4 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata6wins
AwayKrticka4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata83.3%5 of 6
AwayKrticka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata6Krticka4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S2Janata3Krticka7n = 10Krticka took 7 of 10
S3Janata8Krticka2n = 10Janata took 8 of 10
S4Janata5Krticka2n = 7Janata took 5 of 7
S5Janata1Krticka2n = 3Krticka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataKrtickaJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.335.3+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataKrtickaBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 815 vs 90 / 18752.4%48.1%427 / 815 vs 90 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.835.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.44/Krticka 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 10 · 19:00T. Janata—1111113L. Krticka—7480
LApr 6 · 20:58T. Janata—8780L. Krticka—1111113
WApr 6 · 19:30T. Janata—41111123L. Krticka—1158101
WJan 2 · 20:00T. Janata—12411123L. Krticka—10118101
LDec 16 · 19:30T. Janata—89111182L. Krticka—111174113
LNov 21 · 20:00T. Janata—991281L. Krticka—111110113
LNov 2 · 22:30T. Janata—11591152L. Krticka—511117113
WNov 2 · 19:30T. Janata—1111113L. Krticka—8990
WOct 6 · 18:00T. Janata—1151113113L. Krticka—71191562
WSep 3 · 21:30T. Janata—11711113L. Krticka—111461
T. Janata10
LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113LSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113
L. Krticka10
LSep 7 · 19:00L. Krticka2.10111180M. Vedmoch1.671313113WAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113LAug 16 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.501111113L. Krticka2.506080WAug 16 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.63101261162L. Krticka1.441210115113WAug 16 · 18:30L. Krticka2.75111495113F. Just1.40612111182WAug 13 · 21:00K. Kapras1.36911111192L. Krticka3.00117613113LAug 13 · 20:00D. Tuma1.3611129113L. Krticka3.007101181LAug 13 · 19:00K. Kapras1.4411123133L. Krticka2.6371011111LAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka2.635111051F. Just1.4411612113LAug 5 · 21:30L. Krticka1.7751161142M. Vedmoch1.93117118113
Upcoming Matches
T. Janata
Nothing scheduled
L. Krticka
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