TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12422079
Played Aug 13Finished
Karel Kapras
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11712103111311––
Lubos Krticka
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:21 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeKarel Kapras to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarel Kapras above · Lubos Krticka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 78 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Karel Kapras at 65.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Karel Kapras 1–0 Lubos Krticka Lubos Krticka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:21What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kapras
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kapras 1554 vs Krticka 1573
Krticka
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kapras 40% vs Krticka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kapras 60% vs Krticka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kapras +1 · Krticka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kapras) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapras form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKapras 1.44 / Krticka 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Kapras)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12422079
Kapras1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 45 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it74% 29 of 39
Krticka2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 20 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back38% 9 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back29% 4 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKapras1wins
AwayKrticka0wins
Kapras leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKaprasKrtickaKapras − KrtickaBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.039.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaprasKrtickaBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 344 vs 89 / 18750.9%47.6%175 / 344 vs 89 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaprasKapras 1.44/Krticka 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Kapras · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kapras won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 13 · 19:00K. Kapras—11123133L. Krticka—71011111
K. Kapras10
LSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492LSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152WSep 1 · 19:30K. Kapras2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67119651LSep 1 · 18:30S. Kadavy2.00111410123K. Kapras1.7391212101WAug 26 · 20:59J. Hradecky1.91611671K. Kapras1.8011511113LAug 26 · 20:00K. Kapras2.259440V. Cermak1.571111113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.83691241K. Kapras1.83111110113LAug 26 · 18:30K. Kapras1.5371080M. Sobisek2.381112113LAug 25 · 21:28J. Stolfa1.674131111113K. Kapras2.10111113842LAug 25 · 20:30K. Kapras1.91671181V. Cermak1.8011119113
L. Krticka10
WAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113LAug 16 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.501111113L. Krticka2.506080WAug 16 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.63101261162L. Krticka1.441210115113WAug 16 · 18:30L. Krticka2.75111495113F. Just1.40612111182WAug 13 · 21:00K. Kapras1.36911111192L. Krticka3.00117613113LAug 13 · 20:00D. Tuma1.3611129113L. Krticka3.007101181LAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka2.635111051F. Just1.4411612113LAug 5 · 21:30L. Krticka1.7751161142M. Vedmoch1.93117118113WAug 5 · 20:00L. Krticka2.50111211113M. Vedmoch1.501310681LAug 5 · 19:30P. Fojt2.00116118113L. Krticka1.7331191112
Upcoming Matches
K. Kapras
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L. Krticka
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