TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12362212
Played Aug 5Finished
Lubos Krticka
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11131210116118––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLubos Krticka above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 82 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 65.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Lubos Krticka 3–6 Michal Vedmoch Lubos Krticka has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:27What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vedmoch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Vedmoch
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krticka 1593 vs Vedmoch 1661
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krticka 60% vs Vedmoch 100%
Vedmoch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krticka 60% vs Vedmoch 80%
Vedmoch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krticka -1 · Vedmoch +5
Vedmoch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vedmoch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrticka 2.50 / Vedmoch 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Vedmoch)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12362212
Krticka2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 19 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back29% 4 of 14
Vedmoch1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 201 of 325
Up 2–0, closes it95% 95 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it81% 156 of 193
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKrticka3wins
AwayVedmoch6wins
1 of 9 to a deciderVedmoch leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrticka75%3 of 4
AwayVedmoch100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krticka4Vedmoch5n = 9Vedmoch took 5 of 9
S2Krticka2Vedmoch7n = 9Vedmoch took 7 of 9
S3Krticka4Vedmoch5n = 9Vedmoch took 5 of 9
S4Krticka3Vedmoch2n = 5Krticka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricKrtickaVedmochK − VBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match33.434.6−1.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrtickaVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 191 vs 697 / 129749.2%53.7%94 / 191 vs 697 / 1297Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochKrticka 2.50/Vedmoch 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.5%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krticka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 17 · 21:28L. Krticka—8460M. Vedmoch—1111113
LJul 17 · 18:30L. Krticka—9890M. Vedmoch—1111113
LMay 7 · 20:00L. Krticka—119671M. Vedmoch—81111113
LMar 8 · 21:00L. Krticka—36111192M. Vedmoch—111155113
WFeb 24 · 20:00L. Krticka—1311113M. Vedmoch—11650
LFeb 3 · 21:00L. Krticka—7980M. Vedmoch—1111113
WFeb 1 · 21:00L. Krticka—11138113M. Vedmoch—7111111
WJan 11 · 21:00L. Krticka—111011113M. Vedmoch—712921
LJan 4 · 20:00L. Krticka—8713111M. Vedmoch—111111133
L. Krticka10
WAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113LAug 16 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.501111113L. Krticka2.506080WAug 16 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.63101261162L. Krticka1.441210115113WAug 16 · 18:30L. Krticka2.75111495113F. Just1.40612111182WAug 13 · 21:00K. Kapras1.36911111192L. Krticka3.00117613113LAug 13 · 20:00D. Tuma1.3611129113L. Krticka3.007101181LAug 13 · 19:00K. Kapras1.4411123133L. Krticka2.6371011111LAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka2.635111051F. Just1.4411612113LAug 5 · 21:30L. Krticka1.7751161142M. Vedmoch1.93117118113LAug 5 · 19:30P. Fojt2.00116118113L. Krticka1.7331191112
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9144100WSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy2.107650M. Vedmoch1.671111113LSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy2.2091111113M. Vedmoch1.61117941WSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.801211113J. Prokupek1.9110880WAug 5 · 21:30L. Krticka1.7751161142M. Vedmoch1.93117118113
Upcoming Matches
L. Krticka
M. Vedmoch
Sep 7 · 14:00M. Vedmoch2.25R. Pavelka1.57—Sep 7 · 15:30M. Vedmoch1.73T. Dousa2.00—Sep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.83M. Sedlak1.83—Sep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.20J. Hradecky1.61—Sep 7 · 19:00M. Vedmoch1.67L. Krticka2.10—Sep 7 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2.75T. Janata1.40—Sep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch—M. Sobisek——Sep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch—V. Postelt——
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